Models of Social Change: Methods and Principles of Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Monday, 04/26/2021, 12:00 pm.

Location: zoom

Christopher Winship (Havard) and Ethan Fosse (University of Toronto) will discuss Models of Social Change: Methods and Principles of Age-Period-Cohort Analysis.  Co-presented by the Population Aging Research Center (PARC) at the University of Pennsylvania

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Speaker Biographies:

Christopher Winship is the Diker-Tishman Professor of Sociology, Harvard University and a member of the senior faculty at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government. He is a faculty associate of the Institute for Quantitative Social Science, the Program in Criminal Justice, the Ph.D. Program in Organizational Behavior, the Center for Public Leadership, the Safra Center for Ethics, and the Program in Social Inequality. He is past chair of both the Departments of Sociology at Harvard and Northwestern University. Prior to coming to Harvard in 1992, he was a Professor of Sociology, Statistics, and Economics at Northwestern. He has also been the Director of the Program in Mathematical Methods in the Social Sciences at Northwestern and interim Director of the Economic Research Center at the University of Chicago. He has a BA in Sociology and Mathematics from Dartmouth College (1972) and a Ph.D. in Sociology from Harvard University (1977). Along with Robert Sampson he is the founder of the Boston Area Research Initiative, an interuniversity research collaborative whose goal is to bring high quality research to local government decision making.

Ethan Fosse received his Ph.D. in sociology from Harvard University. Prior to coming to Toronto, he worked as a Postdoctoral Research Associate at Princeton University in the Department of Sociology and Department of Politics, where he designed and implemented a series of open-source statistical programming workshops. He currently teaches courses on quantitative methods, social change, and computational social science.  Professor Fosse’s research focuses on using novel quantitative methods to understand social and cultural change. He is currently working on three interrelated projects: first, creating a new set of techniques for identifying age-period-cohort effects, with wide application in sociology and related fields; second, explaining social and cultural change, focusing on the economic, religious, and political views of recent birth cohorts; finally, developing and applying tools such as text regression or, more generally, high-dimensional sparse regression models, to quantitatively analyze textual data. In addition, building off his research on age-period-cohort effects, he has recently begun a project analyzing the individual-level consequences of social mobility. His research has been published in a number of volumes and journals, with recent work in Demography, Sociological Science, and the Annual Review of Sociology. He is also the co-editor of a widely-reviewed book on culture and poverty published by Harvard University Press.